CONCACAF Gold Cup: Haiti Face Tough Test Against Saudi Arabia
The CONCACAF Gold Cup is set to get underway, with Haiti facing invited guest nation Saudi Arabia at Snapdragon Stadium on Sunday. According to Sports Mole, Les Grenadiers are in excellent form, having won 10 of their last 11 matches, while the Green Falcons have tasted defeat just once in 2025 so far.
In their most recent match, Haiti suffered a 5-1 thrashing at the hands of Curacao on Tuesday, marking their first loss since October 2023. However, Sports Mole reports that Sebastien Migne’s side finished second in their group with nine points, five ahead of third-placed St. Lucia, but three short of top-of-the-pile Curacao, who progressed with a 100% record.
Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia closed out their third round of AFC World Cup Qualifying by taking three points from a possible six ahead of this weekend. Sports Mole states that Herve Renard’s side were beaten 2-1 by Australia, who went on to qualify from their group, and the manager will be disappointed that his team surrendered the early lead that Abdulrahman Al-Oboud earned them.
As they look to forget their frustrations this weekend, Saudi Arabia will be hoping to make a strong start in the Gold Cup. However, Sports Mole notes that the Green Falcons have won just three of their last seven on the road, losing two and drawing two, and it remains to be seen whether they can take all three points at Snapdragon Stadium.
In terms of team news, Sports Mole reports that Haiti’s striker Frantzdy Pierrot contributed to goals in both of their June matches, and he should be in the lineup once again this weekend. Joining him up front is likely to be Duckens Nazon and Louicius Don Deedson, while Mikael Centave stands by to offer more firepower from the bench.
As for Saudi Arabia, Sports Mole states that Abdulrahman Al-Oboud, who gave his side the lead against Australia last time out, will start alongside Firas Albiraikan and Salem Al-Dawsari in Renard’s forward line. At the opposite end of the pitch, centre-backs Abdulelah Al-Amri and Hassan Kadesh will be hoping to keep another clean sheet after their three-game streak of not conceding was broken on Tuesday.
The possible starting lineups for the match are:
Haiti: Placide; Arcus, Ade, Duverne, Lacroix; Attys, Pierre, Jaques; Deedson, Pierrot, Nazon
Saudi Arabia: Al-Aqidi; Majrashi, Al-Amri, Kadesh, Boushal; Kanno, Ajohani, Al-Juwayr; Al-Oboud, Albiraikan, Al-Dawsari
Sports Mole predicts that Saudi Arabia will win the match 2-1, with Haiti putting up a strong fight but ultimately falling short.
According to Sports Mole, the most likely scoreline for a Haiti win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%, while the next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win is 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.98%).
The data analysis from Sports Mole suggests that the most likely outcome of this match is a Haiti win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Saudi Arabia has a probability of 25.69%, and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
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