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Future of Work: When Will the Clock Stop?



Retirement in Europe: How Long Will We Have to Work?

Denmark’s recent decision to raise its retirement age to 70 for citizens born after December 31, 1970, has sparked debate about the future of retirement in Europe. According to a report by Deutsche Welle, the Danish parliament passed legislation on May 22, raising the retirement age, currently set at 67, to 68 by 2030 and 69 by 2035. Deutsche Welle reports that the law was approved by 81 lawmakers, with 21 voting against.

The move has raised questions about whether other European countries, including Germany, will follow suit. Germany’s new government is still grappling with how to deal with the country’s struggling statutory pensions system. As Deutsche Welle notes, the country’s new chancellor, Friedrich Merz, has acknowledged that the current system can only last for a few more years at most. Bernd Raffelhüschen, a former German government economic adviser, has suggested that raising the retirement age to 70 could be a solution, citing the need to address the impact of the baby boomer generation on pension contributions.

Pension financing in Europe follows two main models: the Bismarck model, based on social legislation introduced by German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck in the 19th century, and the Beveridge model, developed in the 1940s. As Deutsche Welle explains, the Bismarck model is an insurance-based system in which both workers and employers pay into a fund, while the Beveridge system is a welfare model that provides universal coverage and is funded by taxes.

Germany’s Bismarck-based system is increasingly under strain due to demographic changes, with an ageing population and a shrinking workforce putting pressure on pay-as-you-go pension funds. Deutsche Welle notes that people are living longer due to rising life expectancy, which means they draw pensions for more years. This has led to mounting pressure on pension funds, with the result that either contributions must keep rising, or pension benefits may stagnate, failing to keep up with inflation.

The issue of retirement age is complex, with many factors to consider. As Deutsche Welle reports, working longer can have advantages, such as allowing people to pass on their knowledge and experience to younger colleagues, and can also help to mitigate the skilled labor shortage in Germany. On the other hand, a shorter working life and earlier retirement can be appealing, allowing people to leave work before their physical capabilities decline and use the final third of their lives for meaningful activities or more time with family.

International statistics reveal that legal retirement age rarely aligns with when people actually stop working. In most cases, people retire earlier because their bodies can’t keep up, or in creative professions, because of burnout. Deutsche Welle notes that in a few countries, such as New Zealand, Japan, Sweden, or Greece, people often work beyond the official retirement age, although the reasons for this are often too personal to be captured by statistics.

The gross replacement rate, or the ratio of pension benefits to the final salary, plays a major role in people’s decisions about when to retire. If that gap is too wide, some workers can’t afford to retire. As Deutsche Welle notes, the threat of old-age poverty could be reduced if pensions were high enough to provide financial security after a long career. However, this would require money that the pension system currently lacks.

In conclusion, the issue of retirement age in Europe is complex and multifaceted. As Deutsche Welle reports, Denmark’s decision to raise its retirement age has sparked debate about the future of retirement in Europe, and it remains to be seen whether other countries will follow suit. One thing is certain, however: the way we think about retirement and pension systems will have to change in the coming years.

The original article by Deutsche Welle provides in-depth analysis of the retirement landscape in Europe and offers insights into the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. As the population ages and the workforce shrinks, it is clear that pension systems will have to adapt to meet the needs of future generations.

Sources:
Deutsche Welle: “Retirement in Europe: How long will we have to work?”



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